Alverca U19 vs Braga U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
8º
8º
8º
19
5º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
19 | 20 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alverca U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
FCA
40%
22%
38%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 3
BEN
9%
15%
76%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 2
FCA
41%
22%
37%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 0
EST
42%
22%
36%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
FCA
34%
21%
45%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Braga U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BRG
2 - 4
FAM
45%
25%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
OPO
1 - 1
BRG
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BRG
0 - 1
GON
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BOA
2 - 1
BRG
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BRG
3 - 3
GFC
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |