Alverca U19 vs Nacional U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alverca U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
AMO
2 - 0
FCA
8%
14%
77%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 4
FCA
7%
13%
80%
|
40 | 13 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
FCA
0 - 0
SPO
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
SET
0 - 4
FCA
27%
22%
51%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
FCA
2 - 0
EST
48%
21%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
NAC
86%
10%
4%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
SET
1 - 1
NAC
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 0
EST
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 2
NAC
18%
20%
62%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
SAC
0 - 4
NAC
37%
23%
41%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |