Alverca U19 vs Benfica U19 analysis


38	ELO	55
-4.8%	Tilt	2.5%
6408º	General ELO ranking	2250º
136º	Country ELO ranking	44º
ELO win probability

9.3%

Alverca U19

15.1%

Draw

75.6%

Benfica U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

9.3%

Win probability

0.79

Expected goals

4-0

0.1%

5-1

<0%

+4

0.1%

3-0

0.3%

4-1

0.1%

5-2

<0%

+3

0.5%

2-0

1.1%

3-1

0.7%

4-2

0.2%

5-3

<0%

+2

2%

1-0

2.8%

2-1

2.8%

3-2

0.9%

4-3

0.2%

5-4

<0%

+1

6.7%

15.1%

Draw

0-0

3.5%

1-1

7.1%

2-2

3.6%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

15.1%

75.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-15%

+13%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

8º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

1

8º

23

1º

4º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

4º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	31	31	1º	100%
2º	27	27	2º	100%
3º	25	25	3º	100%
4º	23	23	4º	100%
5º	19	20	5º	100%
6º	15	16	6º	100%
7º	14	14	7º	100%
8º	1	1	8º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

	100%	100%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alverca U19

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
28 Jan. 2023	TOR 1 - 2 FCA 41% 22% 37%	38	36	2	0
21 Jan. 2023	FCA 1 - 0 EST 42% 22% 36%	37	38	1	+1
14 Jan. 2023	MAR 1 - 1 FCA 34% 21% 45%	37	31	6	0
07 Jan. 2023	FCA 2 - 2 SET 71% 17% 13%	37	28	9	0
17 Dec. 2022	VIL 1 - 1 FCA 11% 16% 73%	38	22	16	-1

Matches

Benfica U19

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
28 Jan. 2023	SPO 1 - 0 BEN 22% 21% 57%	55	48	7
21 Jan. 2023	BEN 2 - 0 BLN 88% 9% 4%	55	37	18
14 Jan. 2023	CAP 2 - 3 BEN 5% 11% 84%	55	29	26
07 Jan. 2023	BEN 4 - 1 TOR 88% 9% 4%	55	37	18
16 Dec. 2022	EST 2 - 2 BEN 7% 13% 80%	55	36	19