Alverca U15 vs Sporting CP U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.6%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
80.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17.6%
0-4
8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.6%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
5º
4º
47
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 17 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alverca U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 2
ALV
37%
22%
42%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ALV
0 - 1
BNF
8%
15%
77%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 6
ALV
24%
21%
55%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ALV
3 - 2
CAD
40%
22%
39%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FOO
3 - 3
ALV
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BNF
2 - 5
SCP
38%
23%
40%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SCP
5 - 2
CAD
92%
6%
2%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
SCP
6%
13%
81%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SCP
6 - 0
LOU
95%
4%
1%
|
52 | 14 | 38 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SAC
2 - 5
SCP
5%
12%
83%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | 0 |