Santa Cruz de Alvarenga vs Gouveia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
55.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz de Alvarenga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ALV
1 - 0
VAL
18%
20%
62%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ALV
1 - 1
ARR
63%
19%
17%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CSJ
0 - 2
ALV
9%
15%
76%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ALV
0 - 0
SMA
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 3
ALV
40%
23%
37%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
GOU
1 - 2
CAS
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
EIR
0 - 2
GOU
13%
17%
71%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
GOU
2 - 1
BRA
31%
22%
47%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
BRA
5 - 0
GOU
52%
22%
27%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 0
GOU
52%
21%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |