Santa Cruz de Alvarenga vs Arrifanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz de Alvarenga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CSJ
0 - 2
ALV
9%
15%
76%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ALV
0 - 0
SMA
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 3
ALV
40%
23%
37%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ALV
1 - 0
MAN
30%
23%
47%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LOB
1 - 1
ALV
14%
19%
67%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Arrifanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ARR
1 - 0
CSJ
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SMA
0 - 0
ARR
13%
19%
69%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
1 - 2
SAN
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
5 - 1
ARR
70%
17%
12%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 0
LOB
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |