Alvarado vs Unión Mar del Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
DES
1 - 1
ALV
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ALV
2 - 1
GIM
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
RAO
1 - 0
ALV
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
RIV
0 - 0
ALV
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 1
ALV
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Unión Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 1
MAI
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 3
UNI
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
RSA
38%
27%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 0
TAL
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CDN
2 - 0
UNI
57%
25%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |