Alvarado vs Temperley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
44%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 0
ALV
52%
27%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ALV
2 - 0
BAR
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
AGR
1 - 0
ALV
52%
27%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
ALV
1 - 1
QUI
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
ALV
1 - 0
CAU
12%
21%
67%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Temperley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2020 |
TEM
1 - 3
GBR
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 1
TEM
28%
28%
44%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
TEM
0 - 0
EST
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
TEM
0 - 1
FER
57%
25%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 1
TEM
39%
27%
33%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |