Alvarado vs Racing Olavarría analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
ALV
3 - 2
RIV
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
JUU
2 - 1
ALV
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CIP
3 - 1
ALV
59%
23%
17%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALV
2 - 0
MAI
33%
30%
38%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 0
ALV
71%
19%
11%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Olavarría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MAI
2 - 0
RAO
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
RAO
2 - 1
GBR
17%
24%
59%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
RSA
1 - 0
RAO
59%
24%
18%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
RAO
1 - 2
DFR
51%
26%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
RAO
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |