Alvarado vs Racing Olavarría analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
GUT
1 - 1
ALV
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
ALV
0 - 0
DEF
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
TRE
2 - 4
ALV
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
CDC
1 - 1
ALV
15%
23%
62%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2008 |
ALV
3 - 1
SPA
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Olavarría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
RAO
3 - 1
SPA
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
LIN
3 - 1
RAO
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
RAO
1 - 0
CDC
76%
17%
8%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
RAO
1 - 3
GUT
56%
24%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
DEF
3 - 2
RAO
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |