Alvarado vs Racing Olavarría analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
BVI
0 - 0
ALV
16%
23%
61%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
ALV
0 - 1
CSM
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1978 |
ALV
2 - 3
SMA
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -7 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
QUI
1 - 1
ALV
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1978 |
ALV
2 - 4
SMA
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Olavarría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
GUT
2 - 2
RAO
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |