Alvarado vs Independiente Chivilcoy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
ALV
64%
22%
14%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
ALV
2 - 2
LIB
33%
28%
40%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
ALV
47%
27%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
ALV
0 - 0
TFE
23%
28%
49%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
DFR
1 - 0
ALV
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
IND
0 - 2
TFE
24%
26%
51%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
DFR
0 - 0
IND
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
TAL
2 - 0
IND
83%
12%
6%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
IND
1 - 2
UNI
24%
25%
52%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LIB
4 - 1
IND
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -2 |