Alvarado vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
44.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2009 |
HUR
1 - 1
ALV
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2008 |
RIV
3 - 0
ALV
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2008 |
VIL
1 - 1
ALV
63%
22%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
ALV
1 - 3
RSA
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2008 |
ALV
2 - 2
LIB
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
GBR
3 - 0
VIL
55%
23%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
GBR
0 - 1
RSA
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2008 |
JUV
0 - 1
GBR
38%
28%
35%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
GBR
1 - 2
CIP
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
GIM
1 - 2
GBR
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |