Alvarado vs Ferro General Pico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2018 |
JUU
0 - 1
ALV
56%
26%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
ALV
1 - 2
GIM
26%
28%
46%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
EST
1 - 0
ALV
52%
26%
22%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2018 |
ALV
1 - 0
VIL
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
ALV
0 - 0
DES
52%
26%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
FER
0 - 1
DES
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
DRO
4 - 1
FER
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
FER
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
JUU
35%
28%
37%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
GIM
1 - 0
FER
66%
21%
14%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |