Alvarado vs Ferro General Pico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
ALV
1 - 1
AGR
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ALV
1 - 0
CGB
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
DFR
0 - 0
ALV
58%
25%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALV
4 - 0
RIV
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FER
1 - 1
ALV
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
FER
3 - 1
CGB
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
DFR
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 2
FER
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
AGR
0 - 0
FER
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FER
1 - 1
ALV
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |