Alvarado vs Ferro General Pico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CGB
2 - 1
ALV
42%
28%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TIR
0 - 0
ALV
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
ALV
0 - 2
DFR
30%
29%
41%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FER
1 - 1
ALV
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
ALV
2 - 0
CGB
52%
24%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FER
2 - 1
CGB
48%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TIR
0 - 2
FER
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
DFR
1 - 1
FER
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FER
1 - 1
ALV
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CGB
2 - 0
FER
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |