Alvarado vs Ferro General Pico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
TAL
1 - 0
ALV
86%
11%
4%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
TFE
1 - 0
ALV
73%
18%
9%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -3 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ALV
0 - 3
DFR
33%
27%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
ALV
1 - 3
TAL
21%
26%
54%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ALV
0 - 2
IND
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
FER
1 - 1
TFE
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
DFR
0 - 1
FER
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
IND
56%
24%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
UNI
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
FER
59%
23%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |