Alvarado vs El Linqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2007 |
RAO
0 - 1
ALV
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
ALV
0 - 1
GUT
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
DEF
0 - 1
ALV
31%
26%
44%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
ALV
2 - 0
TRE
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
ALV
4 - 0
CDC
76%
16%
9%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
El Linqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
LIN
1 - 0
SPA
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
CDC
0 - 3
LIN
17%
24%
60%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
RAO
0 - 0
LIN
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
LIN
4 - 1
GUT
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
DEF
0 - 1
LIN
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |