Alvarado vs Defensores de Salto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
TRE
2 - 4
ALV
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
CDC
1 - 1
ALV
15%
23%
62%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2008 |
ALV
3 - 1
SPA
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2007 |
ALV
3 - 1
LIN
44%
26%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2007 |
RAO
0 - 1
ALV
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Defensores de Salto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
DEF
0 - 0
SPA
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
LIN
1 - 1
DEF
67%
20%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
DEF
3 - 2
RAO
22%
24%
54%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +3 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
DEF
1 - 2
GUT
36%
26%
39%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
DEF
2 - 0
CDC
69%
19%
13%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |