Alvarado vs Defensores Belgrano VR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
32.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 0
ALV
32%
31%
38%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ALV
1 - 0
FER
48%
25%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ALV
3 - 0
AGR
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
ALV
0 - 1
CGB
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
DFR
1 - 0
ALV
54%
26%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
DFR
1 - 0
CGB
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
AGR
1 - 1
DFR
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 0
DFR
25%
28%
47%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
FER
1 - 2
DFR
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
DFR
1 - 0
ALV
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |