Alvarado vs Villa del Parque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2007 |
BVI
2 - 1
ALV
22%
25%
53%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2007 |
ALV
1 - 1
CSM
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
ALV
2 - 2
CDC
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
CSM
1 - 1
ALV
20%
24%
55%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
GUT
0 - 1
ALV
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Villa del Parque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
RAO
2 - 1
DVP
62%
21%
17%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
DVP
1 - 1
BVI
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
DVP
5 - 2
CSM
43%
24%
32%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2007 |
CDC
2 - 1
DVP
33%
25%
42%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
DVP
4 - 2
GUT
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |