Alvarado vs Sportivo Desamparados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
40%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
GIM
1 - 0
ALV
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
ALV
1 - 0
RAO
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
ALV
3 - 2
RIV
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
JUU
2 - 1
ALV
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CIP
3 - 1
ALV
59%
23%
17%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
DES
2 - 2
MAI
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 0
DES
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
RSA
1 - 1
DES
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
DES
2 - 0
DFR
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 2
DES
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |