Alvarado vs Cipolletti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
RAF
2 - 1
ALV
84%
11%
5%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MAI
0 - 0
ALV
61%
24%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
ALV
1 - 0
GBR
22%
25%
53%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
RSA
1 - 0
ALV
68%
21%
11%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
ALV
0 - 1
DFR
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cipolletti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
CIP
0 - 1
DES
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
MAI
1 - 0
CIP
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
CIP
3 - 0
GIM
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
GBR
4 - 3
CIP
59%
22%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
CIP
2 - 0
RAO
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |