Torneo Federal B Promotion Play Off Last 16
Global 3-3
Alvarado vs Cipolletti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
56%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2007 |
CDC
0 - 1
ALV
17%
23%
60%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2007 |
SPA
2 - 2
ALV
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2007 |
RAO
1 - 0
ALV
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
ALV
2 - 3
DVP
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2007 |
BVI
2 - 1
ALV
22%
25%
53%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Cipolletti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ALI
0 - 4
CIP
15%
23%
62%
|
64 | 31 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
RAC
3 - 2
CIP
21%
24%
55%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
HUR
1 - 1
CIP
16%
23%
61%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
CIP
1 - 1
INN
72%
18%
11%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
DEP
1 - 2
CIP
22%
25%
54%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |