Alvarado vs Cadetes de San Martin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
ALV
2 - 2
CDC
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
CSM
1 - 1
ALV
20%
24%
55%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
GUT
0 - 1
ALV
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
ALV
1 - 0
SPA
72%
18%
11%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2007 |
ALV
3 - 3
RAO
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cadetes de San Martin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
DVP
5 - 2
CSM
43%
24%
32%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
CSM
1 - 1
ALV
20%
24%
55%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
CSM
1 - 2
BVI
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2007 |
RAO
2 - 2
CSM
56%
23%
22%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
CSM
3 - 2
GUT
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |