Aluvión vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
55.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
HUA
3 - 2
ALU
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ALU
0 - 1
AOI
38%
27%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 1
ALU
62%
22%
15%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
TUD
3 - 1
ALU
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ALU
0 - 1
IZA
20%
23%
58%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
UDM
2 - 2
MUR
67%
20%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 1
UDM
41%
25%
35%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
UDM
3 - 0
SES
39%
26%
35%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
IDO
0 - 3
UDM
41%
26%
34%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
UDM
0 - 1
PAM
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |