Aluvión vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
50.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ZAR
0 - 2
ALU
41%
24%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ALU
1 - 0
OBE
33%
26%
42%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 0
ALU
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ALU
1 - 0
CHA
35%
26%
39%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
PAM
7 - 2
ALU
50%
24%
26%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
UDM
9 - 0
CAV
69%
18%
12%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
LOU
0 - 1
UDM
42%
25%
34%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
UDM
1 - 3
PEÑ
27%
25%
48%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
RIV
1 - 1
UDM
19%
25%
56%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
ZAR
1 - 2
UDM
29%
26%
45%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |