Aluvión vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
35.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
ALU
74%
17%
10%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ALU
1 - 3
MUR
61%
23%
16%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
HUA
1 - 1
ALU
43%
25%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ALU
1 - 1
CDA
63%
21%
17%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2008 |
OBE
7 - 1
ALU
30%
26%
44%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
UDM
1 - 0
AOI
70%
19%
11%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
UDM
68%
20%
12%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
UDM
2 - 2
MUR
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2008 |
HUA
1 - 0
UDM
32%
28%
40%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
UDM
3 - 1
CDA
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |