Aluvión vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
29.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
TUD
0 - 1
ALU
56%
24%
20%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
IDO
1 - 2
ALU
22%
23%
55%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
ALU
2 - 0
AOI
50%
26%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
BUR
0 - 0
ALU
24%
25%
51%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
ALU
2 - 1
ATL
45%
26%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
UDM
1 - 0
AOI
67%
21%
12%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
BUR
0 - 3
UDM
24%
29%
47%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
UDM
2 - 2
ATL
62%
22%
16%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
HUA
0 - 0
UDM
32%
28%
40%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
UDM
2 - 1
CHA
63%
22%
15%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |