Aluvión vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
33.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
MUR
1 - 2
ALU
31%
26%
43%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
ALU
1 - 0
LAG
67%
20%
13%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
ATL
1 - 1
ALU
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
ALU
0 - 0
RIV
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
TUD
1 - 2
ALU
55%
24%
21%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
UDM
3 - 2
CDA
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
AOI
1 - 2
UDM
22%
29%
49%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
UDM
2 - 0
BUR
66%
22%
13%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
LOU
1 - 2
UDM
25%
29%
47%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
UDM
3 - 2
IZA
54%
26%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |