Aluvión vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
47.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
IZA
1 - 2
ALU
57%
24%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
ALU
1 - 1
HUA
37%
28%
35%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
LAG
3 - 0
ALU
43%
24%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
ALU
1 - 1
AOI
40%
27%
33%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
TUD
0 - 2
ALU
65%
22%
13%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
UDM
0 - 1
CDB
66%
23%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
OBE
0 - 1
UDM
37%
28%
35%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
UDM
2 - 0
IZA
64%
23%
13%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
HUA
1 - 0
UDM
26%
28%
46%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
LAG
1 - 2
UDM
25%
26%
49%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |