Aluvión vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
OBE
2 - 1
ALU
52%
25%
23%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ALU
0 - 1
AZK
19%
27%
55%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
PRA
3 - 3
ALU
31%
26%
44%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2003 |
ALU
0 - 1
HUA
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
VAL
0 - 0
ALU
73%
17%
10%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
UDM
0 - 1
VAL
30%
26%
43%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
AGO
0 - 0
UDM
39%
25%
37%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
UDM
3 - 0
MUR
62%
23%
16%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2003 |
LOU
0 - 4
UDM
35%
25%
40%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
UDM
0 - 0
AOI
37%
27%
36%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |