Aluvión vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
HAR
1 - 0
ALU
66%
20%
14%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
ALU
0 - 0
OBE
37%
26%
38%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
CDB
3 - 1
ALU
52%
24%
24%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
ALU
3 - 0
CDI
81%
13%
5%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
ALF
1 - 0
ALU
81%
13%
6%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
UDM
0 - 1
ALF
15%
21%
63%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
REC
2 - 0
UDM
65%
21%
14%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
UDM
0 - 1
SMC
58%
22%
19%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
ALB
2 - 1
UDM
26%
25%
49%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
UDM
1 - 2
IZA
64%
21%
16%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |