Aluvión vs Tudelano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
59.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
HUA
1 - 1
ALU
45%
25%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ALU
4 - 1
AOI
49%
26%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
COR
1 - 2
ALU
48%
24%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
ALU
0 - 1
VAL
26%
26%
48%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
SJU
3 - 1
ALU
66%
20%
14%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tudelano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
TUD
7 - 1
CAV
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
LOU
1 - 1
TUD
26%
24%
50%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
TUD
2 - 1
PEÑ
43%
26%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
RIV
0 - 3
TUD
16%
23%
62%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
TUD
2 - 2
UDM
60%
23%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |