Aluvión vs Tudelano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
AOI
2 - 4
ALU
29%
27%
44%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
OBE
4 - 2
ALU
26%
27%
47%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
ALU
5 - 0
CDA
63%
21%
16%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
SJU
1 - 1
ALU
39%
28%
34%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
ALU
1 - 0
VAL
28%
27%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Tudelano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
TUD
1 - 0
AOI
67%
21%
12%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
UDM
1 - 1
TUD
43%
26%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
CDA
0 - 4
TUD
21%
24%
55%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
TUD
1 - 1
SJU
53%
25%
22%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
VAL
0 - 0
TUD
54%
24%
22%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |