Aluvión vs Tudelano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ALU
2 - 1
BUR
43%
27%
31%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
AOI
0 - 0
ALU
44%
27%
30%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
ALU
1 - 3
VAL
29%
28%
43%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
RIV
2 - 3
ALU
37%
25%
38%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
OBE
4 - 1
ALU
64%
21%
15%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Tudelano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
TUD
2 - 0
BUR
45%
28%
27%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
AOI
0 - 1
TUD
46%
28%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
TUD
2 - 0
VAL
20%
28%
53%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
RIV
2 - 0
TUD
47%
25%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
TUD
0 - 1
OBE
21%
27%
52%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |