Aluvión vs Tudelano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2004 |
UDM
1 - 1
ALU
59%
25%
17%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
ALU
1 - 2
OBE
28%
27%
45%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
AZK
8 - 1
ALU
78%
15%
7%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ALU
1 - 2
PRA
57%
22%
22%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
HUA
0 - 4
ALU
51%
25%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Tudelano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2004 |
TUD
0 - 1
MUR
65%
22%
13%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
LOU
1 - 1
TUD
34%
25%
42%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
TUD
2 - 0
AOI
43%
28%
30%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ALB
0 - 0
TUD
15%
24%
61%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
TUD
0 - 0
CDU
61%
22%
17%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |