Aluvión vs Tudelano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2003 |
UDM
1 - 0
ALU
43%
26%
31%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
ALU
3 - 0
HAR
36%
28%
36%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
OBE
0 - 0
ALU
66%
21%
14%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
ALU
1 - 2
CDB
53%
26%
21%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
CDI
3 - 2
ALU
17%
23%
60%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Tudelano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2003 |
TUD
3 - 2
ALF
16%
23%
61%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
REC
3 - 0
TUD
68%
20%
12%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
TUD
2 - 2
SMC
62%
22%
17%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
ALB
5 - 0
TUD
41%
28%
31%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
TUD
1 - 0
IZA
36%
28%
37%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |