Aluvión vs Tudelano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
AGO
0 - 1
ALU
39%
26%
36%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
ALU
3 - 1
IZA
40%
26%
34%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
MIR
1 - 0
ALU
60%
23%
17%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
ALU
0 - 0
OBE
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
CDB
0 - 0
ALU
42%
25%
34%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tudelano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
TUD
1 - 3
REC
41%
26%
33%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
IDO
2 - 3
TUD
40%
28%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
TUD
2 - 2
HAR
44%
27%
30%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
CDU
1 - 2
TUD
57%
23%
21%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
TUD
1 - 3
AOI
47%
26%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |