Aluvión vs Peña Azagresa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ALU
1 - 3
MUR
43%
26%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
LOU
3 - 1
ALU
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ALU
0 - 2
SES
18%
25%
58%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
IDO
2 - 3
ALU
45%
24%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2010 |
AOI
0 - 1
ALU
41%
26%
33%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Peña Azagresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 1
CHA
20%
23%
56%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 0
PEN
55%
23%
22%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
LOU
2 - 0
PEN
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2010 |
TUD
4 - 2
PEN
83%
12%
6%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 1
SES
14%
21%
64%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | +1 |