Aluvión vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CAV
1 - 5
ALU
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ALU
0 - 1
LOU
36%
26%
38%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
ALU
80%
14%
7%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ALU
2 - 1
RIV
42%
26%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
UDM
1 - 1
ALU
70%
19%
11%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
MUR
2 - 0
CAV
34%
26%
40%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
LOU
6 - 3
MUR
59%
23%
19%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
MUR
0 - 1
PEÑ
15%
23%
62%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
RIV
0 - 0
MUR
42%
27%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
MUR
2 - 1
UDM
20%
26%
54%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |