Aluvión vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ALU
2 - 1
OBE
48%
26%
26%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
CDA
2 - 0
ALU
30%
24%
45%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
ALU
3 - 3
SJU
56%
25%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
VAL
2 - 0
ALU
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
ALU
2 - 0
RIV
41%
27%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
MUR
3 - 2
AOI
43%
28%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 0
BUR
59%
24%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
ATL
0 - 1
MUR
66%
20%
14%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
MUR
1 - 1
HUA
40%
27%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
CHA
2 - 2
MUR
59%
24%
18%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |