Aluvión vs Lourdes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
IZA
2 - 1
ALU
56%
24%
20%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
HUA
2 - 0
ALU
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
ALU
0 - 1
OBE
37%
28%
35%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
ALU
71%
19%
10%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
ALU
2 - 1
AVA
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
LOU
1 - 3
CDA
50%
23%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
AOI
2 - 1
LOU
43%
27%
30%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
LOU
1 - 3
BUR
49%
25%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
AZK
1 - 1
LOU
72%
18%
10%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
IZA
1 - 1
LOU
60%
23%
17%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |