Aluvión vs Lagunak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CDB
1 - 2
ALU
67%
17%
16%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CDT
2 - 1
ALU
31%
24%
46%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ALU
3 - 2
LOU
17%
21%
62%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ALU
2 - 1
JUA
38%
24%
37%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
AVA
2 - 1
ALU
61%
20%
19%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lagunak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LAG
3 - 1
PEN
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
LAG
3 - 0
MUR
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
AZK
0 - 2
LAG
48%
25%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LAG
3 - 2
LOU
19%
22%
59%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 1
CAV
42%
25%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |