Aluvión vs Izarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
44.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
LOU
0 - 1
ALU
34%
26%
41%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ALU
2 - 2
MEN
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
RIV
0 - 1
ALU
27%
26%
47%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
ALU
1 - 0
PEN
63%
20%
16%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ATL
3 - 3
ALU
42%
25%
33%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Izarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
IZA
0 - 0
AOI
73%
18%
9%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
UDM
1 - 3
IZA
42%
26%
32%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
IZA
3 - 1
PEÑ
35%
26%
39%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 2
IZA
24%
26%
50%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
IZA
2 - 1
HUA
67%
20%
13%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |