Aluvión vs Izarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
MIR
1 - 0
ALU
60%
23%
17%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
ALU
0 - 0
OBE
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
CDB
0 - 0
ALU
42%
25%
34%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
ALU
1 - 1
BUR
39%
26%
35%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
RIV
3 - 1
ALU
35%
25%
40%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Izarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
IZA
2 - 1
REC
47%
26%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
IDO
0 - 0
IZA
27%
28%
45%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
IZA
0 - 2
HAR
60%
23%
16%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
CDU
2 - 3
IZA
39%
26%
35%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
IZA
3 - 2
AOI
56%
25%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |