Aluvión vs Txantrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
59.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 0
ALU
73%
17%
11%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ALU
0 - 0
SJU
19%
25%
56%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 3
ALU
78%
14%
9%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ALU
1 - 7
PAM
34%
28%
38%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BUR
3 - 0
ALU
63%
21%
17%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Txantrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 1
ATL
50%
26%
24%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
AOI
0 - 3
CHA
24%
26%
50%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 1
TUD
23%
26%
51%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
COR
2 - 2
CHA
22%
24%
54%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 0
OBE
58%
24%
18%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |