Aluvión vs Corellano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
52.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MUR
0 - 1
ALU
11%
18%
71%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
ALU
1 - 2
CAV
33%
22%
45%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
ALU
3 - 2
FAL
67%
17%
17%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
MUS
1 - 3
ALU
10%
17%
73%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
ALU
3 - 1
AZK
42%
23%
36%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
CDC
3 - 1
FAL
79%
12%
9%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
MUS
0 - 7
CDC
6%
14%
81%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
CDC
2 - 2
AZK
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 4
CDC
15%
19%
67%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
CDC
2 - 2
CAM
62%
18%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |