Aluvión vs Corellano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 1
ALU
55%
22%
24%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ALU
0 - 2
INJ
43%
22%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MUT
1 - 0
ALU
52%
21%
27%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 4
CDI
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CDA
1 - 4
ALU
26%
22%
52%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 2
GAR
32%
24%
45%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AOI
2 - 1
CDC
56%
23%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 0
CDC
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 0
PEN
34%
22%
44%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 1
CDC
60%
20%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |