Aluvión vs Corellano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 2
ALU
56%
22%
23%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ALU
3 - 2
MUR
56%
22%
22%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
AZK
3 - 1
ALU
51%
23%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALU
1 - 0
LAG
53%
23%
24%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CAV
3 - 3
ALU
54%
23%
24%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ZIR
3 - 2
CDC
32%
23%
46%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CDC
1 - 0
JUA
57%
22%
22%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
AVA
3 - 2
CDC
51%
23%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CDC
2 - 0
BUÑ
79%
14%
7%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 1
CDC
52%
23%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |